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11 marketing mega-trends that can make you (or break you) in 2006.
by: Clayton Makepeace Copyright 2006
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Forecast
#1:
The Cost of Talking to Prospects and
Customers Will Continue to Rise - BOTH in Direct Mail and on the Internet.
Direct-mail costs will jump by double digits.
In direct mail, new postage rate increases effective
January 9th will drive postage rates more than 5% higher in
2006. Paper costs - driven by a global surge in natural
resource prices as well as energy surcharges - are rising
as well. And if history is any indication, soaring federal
deficits, combined with downward pressure on the U.S.
dollar around the world and accelerating inflation here at
home, guarantee that this trend will continue throughout
2006 and beyond.
Internet marketing costs will soar even higher.
While the cost of contacting prospects and customers via
snail mail is moving incrementally higher, the cost of
making sales on the World Wide Web is also soaring
at an alarming rate.
Search engine costs will continue to surge.
The explosion in the number of websites vying for top
ranking with commonly searched keywords is causing massive
inflation in search engine costs. In its most recent
quarterly report on search engine marketing, DoubleClick
reports that search engine cost-per-keyword was up about
15%. And cost-per-click was 30% higher in the third quarter
of 2005 than in July of 2004. This trend can only
accelerate as the proliferation of new websites causes
competition for surfers' attention to heat up.
Banner ad costs will soar.
The rapid adoption of the new larger IAB-recommended
standard ad units at the expense of smaller buttons and
banners has resulted in an overall reduction in the amount
of ad space available to advertisers - at a time when
spending on iNet ads is jumping at the rate of 31.5% per
year. As this limited supply of advertising space collides
with soaring demand in 2006, look for Internet ad costs to
jump substantially.
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E-mail marketing to rocket higher.
While there has been no dramatic recent surge in the cost
of sending e-mail blasts to prospects and customers,
delivery rates are being reduced in many cases by over-enthusiastic spam filters and other things. This is
driving the cost per delivered e-mail substantially higher.
Forecast
#2: Most - but Not All - Response Rates Will
Continue to Decline.
Direct-mail response rates will continue to be a challenge.
To anyone who sells books, print newsletters, or
nutritional supplements through direct mail, it's no secret
that response rates have fallen precipitously since 2001.
As a result, mailings are shrinking in size and frequency
and the universe of current, active buyer names and
addresses is declining. Increased competition ... the
propagation of wild and unbelievable product claims ...
increased pressure from litigators and regulators ... and
rising consumer skepticism in these maturing markets will
keep this trend intact. Many Internet response rates will
continue falling throughout 2006.
Search engine conversions will continue to decline.
In 2005 alone, the number of people who click through and
complete a transaction on the average search engine keyword
(including free ones, such as registering or opting-in to
an e-zine) has fallen 22% - from around 4.5% to around
3.5%. Look for this trend to continue as consumers become
increasingly bombarded with a dizzying array of choices.
E-mail open rates and click-throughs will continue their
downward track.
In the latest quarter for which data is available,
DoubleClick reports that e-mail open rates declined a
staggering 23.6% - to 27.5%. Furthermore, of those who
opened their e-mails, 6.5% fewer clicked the links in those
e-mails than in the preceding quarter - about 7.2%. Hardly
surprising - especially when you consider the sheer volume
of e-mails sent to the average Web user each day. As the
quantity of e-mails sent by marketers continues to
skyrocket in 2006, expect the decline in open rates and
click-throughs to fall even further.
Astonishingly, bottom-line Internet response rates will
remain relatively unchanged.
While fewer prospects are opening e-mail advertisements and
clicking the links, higher percentages of those clicking
through are ordering. In the most recent quarter, click-to-purchase rates jumped 27.8% and actual orders per e-mail
delivered rose 18.2%. As a result, revenue per e-mail sent
is holding steady - at an average of 20 cents. For this
reason, the Internet will continue to be a goldmine for
entrepreneurs and business owners who adapt quickly in this
rapidly changing environment.
Forecast
#3:
Internet Marketers Will Be Forced to Focus on
Accountability, Tracking, Forecasting, and Testing.
While response rates are dropping and costs are rising in
direct mail and the Internet, the World Wide Web still
presents the greatest opportunities for attracting new
customers and for selling more products to existing
customers. However, the reality of today's rising
-costs/falling-response virtual world will require
increasing vigilance in order to maximize profits while
minimizing capital risks.
Once upon a time, marketing on the Web was cheap or even
free. Ill-conceived and poorly executed promotions that
would have bankrupt any company paying $500/M for a direct-mail campaign were making Internet marketers fat and
happy. With little if anything to lose, few iMarketers paid
much attention to tracking which promotions produced a
bottom-line profit - let alone which techniques produced
the highest response rates.
Today, with iNet marketing costs rising and many response
rates dropping, savvy iMarketers are beginning to demand
that each dollar spent to generate an e-zine subscriber or
website visitor produce a positive return on investment in
a reasonable amount of time. At the same time, the twin
demons of declining response rates and rising costs will
demand that Internet marketers produce stronger headlines,
subject lines, and sales copy - and that these lynchpins
(see Word to the Wise, below) of direct response be
constantly tested for relative effectiveness.
Forecast
#4: Cheaper Media and Multi-Step Promotions Will
Gain in Prominence.
As e-mail open and click-through rates continue to decline,
increasing numbers of Internet marketers will turn to other
media - television, radio, print, etc. - to drive prospects
to landing pages and websites. Internet giants
eBay, DiTech, Geico, and Progressive Insurance are already
leading the way - and the savviest entrepreneurs and
business owners will follow.
Forecast
#5: Cooperative Marketing Arrangements Will Gain
in Importance and Frequency.
In a rising-cost, falling-response environment - both on
the Web and in direct mail - cooperative campaigns will
bring breakthroughs in 2006. Affiliate promotions ... ride
-along promotions ... joint ventures and product
combinations ... and subsidized promotions will take center
stage, producing massive breakthroughs for cutting-edge
marketers.
Forecast
#6: Innovative Consumer-Friendly Marketing
Strategies Will Take Center Stage.
To overcome rising consumer skepticism and falling response
rates, increasing numbers of Internet marketers will
abandon "blunt instrument" marketing strategies and
messages in favor of ...
"Permission" Marketing or "Invertizing" - in which
consumers invite marketers into their lives. Companies that
innovate ways for consumers to request advertising
materials will prosper. Advertorials that bring value to
consumers' lives while making a sale will double and triple
revenues and profits for many companies.
Involvement Devices that intrigue and entertain - games,
contests, self-tests, and other devices that makes sites
"sticky" - will produce greater increases in traffic and
sales.
Viral Devices - content deemed by recipients to be valuable
enough to be passed on to others - will turn each e-mail
address that you pay for into two, three, or even four that
you don't have to pay for.
Blogs will become an even more powerful marketing tool.
These websites (where visitors are invited to share their
opinions on a variety of topics) are still skyrocketing in
popularity. In 2005, 33% more people visited Blogspot.Com
than read The New York Times! Creating a blog and requiring
visitors to register in order to share their opinions
- PLUS adding links and ads to the blog site - will become
a huge source of new e-mail addresses and revenues for
anyone creatively exploiting them. Rich Media will rule!
With about 35% of U.S. households boasting broadband
connections to the Internet, the delivery of high-impact
rich media (streaming animations, video, audio, interactive
games, etc.) will be a major force in boosting response to
iNet promotions in 2006. In a recent study, DoubleClick
found that banner ads featuring animation, rollovers, or
other rich media produced FIVE TIMES the response of non
-rich media ads!
Forecast
#7: Innovative Delivery Formats Will Make Millions
for Information Publishers and "Infopreneurs."
The format in which information products are presented will
become increasingly important. Simple "special reports"
delivered as PDFs will continue losing their appeal, while
higher-impact formats will attract hordes of new customers.
Information products sold and delivered as streaming audio
and video reports ... PowerPoint presentations with audio
... webcasts and webinars ... podcasts ... live
teleseminars ... group and one-on-one coaching products ...
will attract ever-larger audiences and earn fortunes for
cutting-edge marketers.
Forecast
#8: For Consumers, the "Free Internet" Will Become
Harder and Harder to Find.
Like the Internet, TV and radio once provided the majority
of their content free to consumers. Today, these industries
derive the majority of their revenues and profits directly
from consumers - via cable providers, premium channel
providers (such as HBO and CineMax), XM Radio,
Netflix, DirecTV, and others.
This trend has already begun: U.S. consumers are now paying
nearly $2 billion per year to subscribe to websites and e-zines and to access other content online. That's nearly
THREE TIMES MORE than in 2001! Expect many publishers of
free e-zines and websites to begin qualifying prospects and
bringing revenue forward by providing brief trial periods
followed by promotions aimed at converting leads to
customers who pay monthly, annual, or per-access fees.
Forecast
#9: International Prospects Will Gain in
Importance.
While U.S. consumers have been bombarded with a mind
-boggling volume of Web-based promotions and are
increasingly resistant to their allure, Internet users in
many other countries have escaped much of the onslaught. As
a result, many Internet marketers will discover rich veins
of gold overseas in the year ahead.
According to the CIA World Factbook, 186 million Americans
- roughly 63% of the U.S. population - now have Web access.That's only about 19% of the global Web community. A
whopping 81% of all Internet users do NOT live in the U.S.
- and to a huge percentage of them, e-mails and Internet
sites delivered in English are meaningless.
If you translate your e-mail blasts and websites into
Spanish, you'll pick up about 76 million more prospects in
the U.S., Mexico, Central America, South America, and, of
course, Spain. Add French, German, Russian, and Portuguese
sales messages, and you can talk to 116 million more future
customers. And if you can figure out a way to make your
sales messages readable to Web nerds in China and India,
you'll pick up another 136 million.
Look for an increasing number of entrepreneurs and
businesses to tap this largely virgin audience of
consumers.
Forecast
#10: The Customer Takes His Rightful Place.
Many marketers who use cheaper media - TV, radio, and the
Internet, for example - build their entire businesses on
making a single sale to each customer. Now, with rising
costs and falling response rates, look for more Internet
marketers (as well as more TV and radio infomercial
producers) to adopt the venerable "Lifetime Customer Value"
model that has turned so many direct-mail marketers into
millionaires.
In the year ahead, increasing numbers of Internet marketers
will build vast companies and fortunes by
(1) generating maximum numbers of new customers at break-even, and
(2)systematically increasing the lifetime value of each customer through regular monthly, weekly, even daily
promotions.
In short, the most successful Internet marketers in 2006
will be those who view the marketing holistically - as an
unbroken chain - and design campaigns to take prospects
from first contact to first purchase in a single step, and
then continuously upgrade the value of each customer over
time. This will force vast improvements in the quality of
products offered. It will also cause savvy marketers to
think of each product sold as a promotion for the next
product to be offered.
Forecast
#11: Marketers Who Are the First to Capitalize on
These Locked-In Trends for 2006 Will Grow Richer Than Midas
in the Year Ahead!
Each one of the above trends presents a truly spectacular
opportunity for entrepreneurs, business owners, and
marketing pros.
About
The Author
Clayton
Make peace
Clayton Makepeace offers help in reaping maximum profits
through the Internet, direct mail, and print advertising
every week in his e-zine, THE TOTAL PACKAGE.
http://www.makepeacetotalpackage.com/
Learn 177 of his surprising secrets that have doubled his
clients' profits in a year and quadrupled them in 36 months
in his newly published e-book "Double Your Profits in 12
Months or Less!"
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